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2021年11月21日
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This tool is used to implement Monte Carlo analysis, which uses probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for uncertainty. This tool is developed to follow the simulation segment of ASTM E1369. This technique involves a method of model sampling. Specification involves defining which variables are to be simulated, the distribution of each of these variables, and the number of iterations performed. The software then randomly samples from the probabilities for each input variable of interest. Three common distributions that are used include triangular, normal, and uniform.
To illustrate, consider a situation where a firm has to purchase 100 ball bearings at $10 each; however, the price can vary plus or minus $2. In order to address this situation, one can use a Monte Carlo analysis where the price is varied using a triangular distribution with $12 being the maximum, $8 being the minimum, and $10 being the most likely. Moreover, the anticipated results should have a low value of approximately $800 (i.e., 100 ball bearings at $8 each) and a high value of approximately $1200 (i.e., 100 ball bearings at $12 each). The triangular distribution would make it so the $8 price and $12 price have lower likelihoods. For a Monte Carlo analysis, one must select the number of iterations that the simulation will run. Each iteration is similar to rolling a pair of dice, albeit, with the probabilities having been altered. In this case, the dice determine the price of the bearings. The number of iterations is the number of times this simulation is calculated (i.e., the number of times the dice is rolled).
We welcome any comments or suggestions for further developing this tool: douglas.thomas@nist.gov
Excel — your friendly (and perhaps most dreaded) office tool. But it’s not just for spreadsheets anymore.Xlsm Casino Games
Kjeld slot blog. Believe it or not, you can turn the1. 2048
You may have heard of the addicting game 2048 by Gabriele Cirulli. This is the same exact game, just in Excel format.
In 2048 two tiles of the same number can merge into a new tile that equals the total value of the two. The goal of the game is to have a tile value of 2,048.
The geniuses at Spreadsheet1.com built an Excel version that allows you to play the game, and track your moves to help analyze your strategy. Since the game is made entirely in Excel, you can resume the game at a later time by saving the workbook, and it can be played online or offline. St patricks slots. It is available for Excel 2007 or later, and can be downloaded for free here.
But what if you want to play this game and be discrete at work? Reddit user Krzychu81 created a version of 2048 with ’highly advanced cloaking mechanisms to camouflage itself as financial statements.’
To download this sneaky version, click here. 2. Candy Number Crunch Saga
In four days, Canadian accountant Cary Walkin created Candy Number Crunch Saga. The game is a satirical take on the famous Candy Crush Saga game we all know and love, by King.com.
The description states that the game ’takes place in the not too distant future where King.com (KING) has had a successful IPO. The burden is on you, brave stock trader, to invest wisely and become richer beyond your wildest dreams!’
This creative game has more than 35 news events that can realistically affect stock price and includes a real-time stock ticker.
Candy Number Crunch Saga is available on PC Excel versions 2007, 2010 and 2013. To download it for free, click here. 3. Monopoly
Tumblr user Andrew Werner was playing the popular board game Monopoly with his wife and friend when he began to think of different strategies for the game.
After 12 to 14 hours of work, he created a Monopoly simulator in Excel using a programming language called Visual Basic for Applications (VBA). The game allows up to four players, and was updated in August 2011 with the option to choose ’human’ or ’computer’ players.
To download it for free, click here. 4. 3D Maze
Built into an Excel grid, 3D Maze was developed by Jordan Goldmeier from Option Explicit VBA. Goldmeier, a guest author on Walkin’s blog, shared a step-by-step tutorial on how to create 3D mazes and posted this game.
Using the arrow buttons in the spreadsheet, you can easily move around the maze. Below the arrows, a map can also help you navigate the maze.
3D Maze is available on PC Excel versions 2007, 2010 and 2013. To download it for free, click here.5. Arena.Xlsm
In addition to Candy Number Crunch Saga, Walkin designed a full-length role-playing game called Arena.Xlsm. The game took five months to make, and was released last March. It features more than 2,000 possible enemies, 1,000 possible item combinations, a storyline with four different endings and 31 spells.
Arena.Xlsm is available on PC versions of Excel 2007, 2010 and 2013. To download it for free, click here.Xlm Casino6. Writer’s BlockXlsm Casino Free
Kevin Lyman, a former Microsoft intern, built an original multiplayer word game that he describes as ’Scrabble meets Battleship.’ Writer’s Block, the name of the game, was built entirely in Excel using a combination of conditional formatting, Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) and images, Lyman tells Mashable. Xlsm Casino App
Lyman is currently porting Writer’s Block from Excel to mobile platforms, and plans to release it to Android, iOS and Windows Phone this coming November. The Excel version of Writer’s Block is not available to the public, but will be once the mobile versions are out.
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